Feng, Hui; Liu, Jia - Department of Economics, University of Victoria - 2002
In this paper we investigate the forecasting performance of the non-linear time series SETAR model by using Canadian … GDP data from 1965 to 2000. Besides the with-in-sample fit, the forecasting performance of a standard linear ARIMA model … for the same sample has also been generated for comparative purposes. Two forecasting methods, 1-step-ahead and multi …