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PROBLEM SOLVING OF FORECASTING ON SHORT PERIODS IN THE CASE OF TRANSITIONAL STRUCTURE-CHANGING CHARACTER OF DEVELOPMENT …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407982
using these models in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise compared with the forecasts obtained based on the usual linear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123002
For hundred years the future was occupying the persons. The ancient Greeks, the Romans, the Egyptians, the Indians, the Chinese and other great ancient cultures, but also the modern, as the English, Germans and the Americans and with the help of the development of technology and computers they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119209
This paper discusses nonparametric kernel regression with the regressor being a \(d\)-dimensional \(\beta\)-null recurrent process in presence of conditional heteroscedasticity. We show that the mean function estimator is consistent with convergence rate \(\sqrt{n(T)h^{d}}\), where \(n(T)\) is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011254954
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407976
cointegration test, we assert that between January 1992 and November 1995, the Ukraine was faced with a complex monetary regime in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005407979
Many applied economists face problems in selecting an appropriate technique to estimate short and long run relationships with the time series methods. This paper reviews three alternative approaches viz., general to specific (GETS), vector autoregressions (VAR) and the vector error correction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556358
This is an exploratory study that attempts to identify and provide empirical evidence on the possible determinants of the market capitalisation of the Harare Stock Exchange (HSE) with the view of understanding the development prospects of the HSE and other similar markets. The study used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119105
In this paper we investigate the possibility of the application of subsampling procedure for testing cointegration … distribution and nuisance parameters in testing for cointegration rank without an explicitly formulated structural model. The … cointegration rank in large scale models, where the standard procedures hits already its limit. For empirical relevant cases our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119151
This paper is an exercise in applied macroeconomic forecasting. We examine the forecasting power of a vector error … expenditure as suggested by the economic theory. We compare the estimated forecasting values of the endogenous variables to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556281