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This paper examines the relationship between unemployment, real oil price and real interest rates in Canada. Instead of …/cointegration techniques which allow for the possibility that unemployment is highly persistent. In line with other studies, we find that all … equilibrium model with highly persistent shocks might be adequate to account for the observed behaviour of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614880
forecasting German unemployment in the short run. Every month, the CEOs of the FEA’s regional agencies are asked about their … expectations of future labor market developments. We generate an aggregate unemployment leading indicator that exploits serial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010198066
forecasting German unemployment in the short run. Every month, the CEOs of the FEA's regional agencies are asked about their … expectations of future labor market developments. We generate an aggregate unemployment leading indicator that exploits serial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013349233
forecasting German unemployment in the short run. Every month, the CEOs of the FEA's regional agencies are asked about their … expectations of future labor market developments. We generate an aggregate unemployment leading indicator that exploits serial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010420671
This article is concerned with the dynamic behaviour of UK unemployment. However, instead of using traditional … suggest that the UK unemployment may be explained in terms of lagged values of the real oil prices and the real interest rate …, with the order of integration of unemployment ranging between 0.50 and 1. Thus, unemployment shows the characteristics of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010310242
This paper examines the relationship between unemployment, real oil price and real interest rates in Canada. Instead of …/cointegration techniques which allow for the possibility that unemployment is highly persistent. In line with other studies, we find that all … equilibrium model with highly persistent shocks might be adequate to account for the observed behaviour of unemployment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010310351
This article is concerned with the dynamic behaviour of UK unemployment. However, instead of using traditional … suggest that the UK unemployment may be explained in terms of lagged values of the real oil prices and the real interest rate …, with the order of integration of unemployment ranging between 0.50 and 1. Thus, unemployment shows the characteristics of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582384
We examine dynamic asymmetries in US unemployment using non-linear time series models and Bayesian methods. We find … unemployment rate. One finding of particular interest is that shocks which lower the unemployment rate tend to have a smaller … effect than shocks which raise the unemployment rate. This finding is consistent with unemployment rises being sudden and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005369100
This paper proposes a measure of real-time inflation expectations based on metadata, i.e., data about data, constructed from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation Search Index (GISI) is assessed relative to 37 other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647210
The presence of discontinuities in the January rounds of Philippine Unemployment Data from 1981-2006 is investigated by … an abrupt change in unemployment rates in the mid-1980s and in 2005-2006. The former may reflect the political and … unemployment adopted in 2005 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014053163