In most African economies, both agricultural production and the terms- of-trade are highly uncertain. This paper re-examines the implications of such uncertainty for the optimal mix of production and trade under alternative assumptions about international capital flows. The ultimate objective is...

This paper reexamines the stationarity of the dollar-sterling real exchange rate using the two centuries of data analyzed in Lothian and Taylor (LT) (1996). We fit univariate time series models for the real exchange rate that dominate the stationary AR(1) specification chosen by LT and the...

This study provides evidence that episodes of internal stability of exchange rates among the 11 Euro countries during 1957-98 were associated with periods of lower real commodity price volatility. These stabilizing effects are statistically significant for fertilizer, metals, petroleum, and...