This paper extends the efficiency wages/partially adaptive expectations Phillips curve, otherwise known as the price-price Phillips curve, from a closed economy context to an open economy one with both commodity trade and capital mobility. We also consider the case of a monetary union (a...

Recently, the Bank of Japan outlined a "two perspectives" approach to the conduct of monetary policy that focuses on risks to price stability over different time horizons. Interpreting this as pertaining to different frequency bands, we use band spectrum regression to study the determination of...

We combine an estimated monetary policy rule featuring time-varying trend inflation and stochastic coefficients with a medium scale New Keynesian framework calibrated on the U.S. economy. We find the impact of variations in trend inflation on the likelihood of equilibrium determinacy to be both...

For many countries located around the equatorial region, climate phenomenon such as El Niño southern oscillation or ENSO has enormous impact on their economies. In the case of countries with a high degree of dependency on water resources for energy generation, the impact of ENSO has been...

This paper analyses two well-known features of interest rates, namely their time dependence and their cyclical structure. Specifically, it focuses on the monthly Euribor rate, using monthly data from January 1994 to May 2011. Models based on fractional integration at the long run or zero...

In this paper, we examine the stochastic structure of a consumer price index and its inflation that ultimately provides the basis for monetary policy and other contracting fulfillments. The index is the broad monthly consumer price index, IPC-A of the Brazilian Institute of Geography and...

Australia's inflation rate and inflation uncertainty during the post-float era 1983Q3–2006Q4 have acted as important barometers of Australia's macroeconomic performance. The conceptualization and measurement of the nexus between inflation and inflation uncertainty is subject to complex...

In this paper the inflation hedging characteristics of Hong Kong real estate market are examined using 1998-2006 data. Both short-term and long-term methods are used. The short-term method follows Fama and Schwert framework. To separate expected and unexpected inflation rate from nominal...

Primary commodities still account for the bulk of exports in many developing countries. However, real commodity prices have been declining almost continuously since the early 1980s and there is evidence of renewed weakness. The appropriate policy response to a terms of trade shock depends...

This paper studies the challenge that increasing the inflation target poses to equilibrium determinacy in a medium-sized New Keynesian model without indexation fitted to the Great Moderation era. For moderate targets of the inflation rate, such as 2 or 4 percent, the probability of determinacy...