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In the aftermath of the covid-19 pandemic, the prevention of further decline in aggregate employment and turning it around are high on the agenda of policymakers. To this end, it is imperative to have a disaggregated model of employment, given the unequal effects of covid-19 on employment in...
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This paper examines real exchange rate responses to shocks in exchange rate determinants for fourteen Asian developing countries. The analysis is based on a panel structural vector error correction model, and the shocks are identified using sign and zero restrictions. We find that trade...
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This paper proposes two new weighting schemes that average forecasts based on different estimation windows in order to account for possible structural change. The first scheme weights the forecasts according to the values of reversed ordered CUSUM (ROC) test statistics, while the second...
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