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We propose a comprehensive treatment of the leverage effect, i.e. the relationship between returns and volatility of a specific asset, focusing on energy commodities futures, namely Brent and WTI crude oils, natural gas and heating oil. After estimating the volatility process without assuming...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958896
This paper proposes using realized range-based estimators to draw inference about the quadratic variation of jump-diffusion processes. We also construct a range-based test of the hypothesis that an asset price has a continuous sample path. Simulated data shows that our approach is efficient, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296752
We introduce a multivariate estimator of financial volatility that is based on the theory of Markov chains. The Markov chain framework takes advantage of the discreteness of high-frequency returns. We study the finite sample properties of the estimation in a simulation study and apply it to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011268024
For financial assets whose best quotes almost always change by jumping by the market`s price tick size (one cent, five cents, etc.), this paper proposes an estimator of Quadratic Variation which controls for microstructure effects. It measures the prevalence of alternations, where quotes jump...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004977856
This paper presents some limit theorems for certain functionals of moving averages of semimartingales plus noise, which are observed at high frequency. Our method generalizes the pre-averaging approach (see [13],[11]) and provides consistent estimates for various characteristics of general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005440042
We consider a new class of estimators for volatility functionals in the setting of frequently observed Itô diffusions which are disturbed by i.i.d. noise. These statistics extend the approach of pre-averaging as a general method for the estimation of the integrated volatility in the presence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005440053
We introduce a novel estimator of the quadratic variation that is based on the theory of Markov chains. The estimator is motivated by some general results concerning filtering contaminated semimartingales. Specifically, we show that filtering can in principle remove the effects of market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004990847
We propose a comprehensive treatment of the leverage effect, i.e. the relationship between returns and volatility of a specific asset, focusing on energy commodities futures, namely Brent and WTI crude oils, natural gas and heating oil. After estimating the volatility process without assuming...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398704
We propose a comprehensive treatment of the leverage effect, i.e. the relationship between returns and volatility of a specific asset, focusing on energy commodities futures, namely Brent and WTI crude oils, natural gas and heating oil. After estimating the volatility process without assuming...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407507
The main goal of this study is to analyse the ability of the implied volatility index (VIX) to incorporate current stock market information that is relevant for the volatility forecasts. Employing historical market volatility, market trading volume and significant stock market returns as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010897986