Summary The European Union has reached a critical juncture in dealing with the fallout from the 2008 financial meltdown that started in the USA and spread to engulf banks and the financial markets of Europe. The ensuing recession or stagnation in many member countries was compounded by austerity...

The objective of this research is related to the comparison between the government planning for the revenues and our own forecasts based on an econometric model. An auto-adaptive model was constructed for the revenues, taking into account the previous expectations regarding the government...

To complement its existing set of tools to analyze and forecast developments in the global economy, the Bank of Canada recently developed a version of the Global Projection Model (GPM) jointly with staff at the International Monetary Fund. The GPM is a highly stylized quarterly projection model...

I analyze the new energy strategy approved by the Italian Government, the "National Energy Strategy: for a more competitive and sustainable energy". One of the SEN medium term targets is the equalization of Italian energy prices to the EU average within 2020. I argue that it is true that...

Economic growth is a key concept in developing countries and in designing growth models becoming more efficient. This paper begins by defining the concept of growth, identifying and presenting the factors that contribute to achieving it, and finally the European growth model is outlined for...

An economy like that of China started out a lot of controversies and a lot of analysis. Recently, the monetary policy led by China gave birth to a series of disturbing questions, as follows: for how long can the fixed exchange rate be sustained? what will be the consequences of the continuous...

The global financial crisis which emerged in developed countries has spread to the developing world. Forecasts of growth in developing countries have been downgraded a lot and questions remain as to how profound, for how long these problems will broaden which countries will be affected more than...

This paper uses survey expectations data to construct empirical proxies for time-varying business-level uncertainty. Access to the micro data from the German IFO Business Climate Survey permits construction of uncertainty measures based on both ex ante disagreement and ex post forecast errors....

The paper discusses the influence of the global economic crisis on the Latvian economy. Using the system dynamics approach and models produced beforehand, various development scenarios of tax policy, householder crediting, and the job market are analyzed. Produced models allow to obtain...