Chen, M. Keith; Jonathan E. Ingersoll, Jr.; Kaplan, … - In: Management Science 54 (2008) 8, pp. 1381-1394
Prediction markets now cover many important political events. The 2004 presidential election featured an active online prediction market at Intrade.com, where securities addressing many different election-related outcomes were traded. Using the 2004 data from this market, we examined three...