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unemployment, several European economies display highly persistent unemployment dynamics. The theory of hysteresis challenges this … strong empirical evidence of unemployment hysteresis in advanced economies since the 1990s. Relying on an identification … unemployment rates to pre-shock levels. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012130633
unemployment, several European economies display highly persistent unemployment dynamics. The theory of hysteresis challenges this … strong empirical evidence of unemployment hysteresis in advanced economies since the 1990s. Relying on an identification … unemployment rates to pre-shock levels. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011894454
.14 percentage-point higher unemployment rate at ages 25-29 and 0.03 percentage points higher at ages 30-34. The persistence of this … worker who experiences a one-percentage-point higher unemployment rate while the worker is 16-24 years old has a 0 … rigidity is constructed and the index is shown to have positive correlation with the persistence. Moderating macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010350848
.14 percentage-point higher unemployment rate at ages 25-29 and 0.03 percentage points higher at ages 30-34. The persistence of this … worker who experiences a one-percentage-point higher unemployment rate while the worker is 16-24 years old has a 0 … rigidity is constructed and the index is shown to have positive correlation with the persistence. Moderating macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377348
.14 percentage-point higher unemployment rate at ages 25-29 and 0.03 percentage points higher at ages 30-34. The persistence of this … worker who experiences a one-percentage-point higher unemployment rate while the worker is 16-24 years old has a 0 … rigidity is constructed and the index is shown to have positive correlation with the persistence. Moderating macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095493
persistence. This view is questioned in the paper using German data on unemployment. A new class of time-series models, the … able to generate fragile equilibria. For instance, in this literature the natural unemployment rate is allowed to shift … over time depending on past unemployment. Actually, many European unemployment series seem to exhibit a unit root or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666959
consistent with existing theories of unemployment hysteresis that focus on depreciation of human capital and search activity …On the basis of macro data from 10 OECD countries, I find that the job vacancy rate outperforms the unemployment rate … as a reliable measure of domestic inflationary pressure. Moreover, while the rate of unemployment affects inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005758298
This paper proposes a model of the US unemployment rate which accounts for both its asymmetry and its long memory. Our … standard limit distribution. The empirical results suggest that the US unemployment rate can be specified in terms of a … real interest rates). We also find evidence of a long-memory component. Our results are consistent with a hysteresis model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295392
using a SVAR model by inspecting how unemployment responds to the state of the economy. We show that deviations from Okun …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013207330
This paper estimates a stylized search and matching model on data for Australia covering the period 1978-2008. Using Bayesian methods we find that the model does a fairly good job in replicating the data. Surprisingly, we find a large value for the worker’s bargaining power and low vacancy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259078