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This paper explores the evidence for positive hysteresis in the labor market. Using data from the National Longitudinal … Surveys of Youth, we find that negative labor market outcomes during high-unemployment periods are mitigated by exposure to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011791237
This paper studies the dynamics of unemployment (u) and its natural rate (u*), with u* measured by real-time estimates … for 29 countries from the OECD. We find strong evidence of hysteresis: an innovation in u causes u* to change in the same …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705521
models can generate both substantial inflation persistence and a nonzero inflation-unemployment tradeoff in the long … - although they generate price inertia, they cannot account for the stylised fact of inflation persistence. It is thus commonly … puzzle is highly misleading, relying on the exogeneity of the forcing variable (e.g. output gap, marginal costs, unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273163
-price staggering models can generate both substantial inflation persistence and a nonzero inflation-unemployment tradeoff in the long …" - although they generate price inertia, they cannot account for the stylised fact of inflation persistence. It is thus commonly …, unemployment rate) and the assumption of a zero discount rate. We show that when the discount rate is positive in a general …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273181
-price staggering models can generate both substantial inflation persistence and a nonzero inflation-unemployment tradeoff in the long …" - although they generate price inertia, they cannot account for the stylised fact of inflation persistence. It is thus commonly …, unemployment rate) and the assumption of a zero discount rate. We show that when the discount rate is positive in a general …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281029
The fiscal consolidation efforts of Spain, Italy, and Portugal from 2010 to 2014 did not achieve their goal of reducing the debt-to-GDP ratio in any of the three countries. This Economic Bulletin examines why the spending cuts and tax increases, at times drastic, were unsuccessful and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011607711
In this paper, we identify demand shocks that can have a permanent effect on output through hysteresis effects. We call … employment and investment, although output per worker is largely unaffected. We find strong evidence that hysteresis transmits … through a rise in long-term unemployment and a decline in labor force participation and disproportionately affects the least …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012663764
market hysteresis and commodity price shocks. We find that a commodity price shock typically has an expansionary effect as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015374297
We develop a growth model with unemployment due to imperfections in the labor market. In this model, wage inertia and … equilibrium paths. Hysteresis is viewed as the result of a selection between these different equilibrium paths. We use this model … of the 1970?s may have played a central role in generating hysteresis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276428
This paper provides a model of "social hysteresis" whereby long, deep recessions demotivate workers and thereby lead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009752694