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What explains the persistence of unemployment? The literature on hysteresis, which is based on unit root testing in … autoregressive models, consists of a vast number of univariate studies, i.e. that analyze unemployment series in isolation, but few … multivariate analyses that focus on the sources of hysteresis. As a result, this question remains largely unanswered. This paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010690214
models can generate both substantial inflation persistence and a nonzero inflation-unemployment tradeoff in the long … - although they generate price inertia, they cannot account for the stylised fact of inflation persistence. It is thus commonly … puzzle is highly misleading, relying on the exogeneity of the forcing variable (e.g. output gap, marginal costs, unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273163
-price staggering models can generate both substantial inflation persistence and a nonzero inflation-unemployment tradeoff in the long …" - although they generate price inertia, they cannot account for the stylised fact of inflation persistence. It is thus commonly …, unemployment rate) and the assumption of a zero discount rate. We show that when the discount rate is positive in a general …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273181
-price staggering models can generate both substantial inflation persistence and a nonzero inflation-unemployment tradeoff in the long …" - although they generate price inertia, they cannot account for the stylised fact of inflation persistence. It is thus commonly …, unemployment rate) and the assumption of a zero discount rate. We show that when the discount rate is positive in a general …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281029
The fiscal consolidation efforts of Spain, Italy, and Portugal from 2010 to 2014 did not achieve their goal of reducing the debt-to-GDP ratio in any of the three countries. This Economic Bulletin examines why the spending cuts and tax increases, at times drastic, were unsuccessful and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011607711
In this paper, we identify demand shocks that can have a permanent effect on output through hysteresis effects. We call … employment and investment, although output per worker is largely unaffected. We find strong evidence that hysteresis transmits … through a rise in long-term unemployment and a decline in labor force participation and disproportionately affects the least …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012663764
We develop a growth model with unemployment due to imperfections in the labor market. In this model, wage inertia and … equilibrium paths. Hysteresis is viewed as the result of a selection between these different equilibrium paths. We use this model … of the 1970?s may have played a central role in generating hysteresis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276428
Dieser Aufsatz untersucht die Hypothese, dass der Grad an Arbeitsmarkthysterese in Folge einer Rezession von der Reaktion der Geldpolitik abhängt. Der Hysteresegrad wird in der empirischen Untersuchung durch die geldpolitische Reaktion und Standardvariablen für Arbeitsmarktinstitutionen in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003772351
We analyse the determinants of unemployment persistence in four OECDcountries byestimating a structural Bayesian VAR … with an informative priorbased on an insiders/outsiders model. We explicitly insert unemployment ben-efits and labour taxes … so that our identification is not affected by the Faust andLeeper (1997) critique. We find widespread hysteresis: demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327831
This paper provides a model of "social hysteresis" whereby long, deep recessions demotivate workers and thereby lead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009752694