Since World War II, permanent interest rate shocks have driven nearly all of the fluctuations of U.S. M1 velocity, which is cointegrated with the short rate, and most of the long-horizon variation in the velocity of M2-M1. Permanent velocity shocks specific to M2-M1, on the other hand, have...

This paper inspects a grid search algorithm to estimate the AR(1) process, based on the joint estimation of the canonical AR(1) equation along with its reverse form. The method relies on the GLS principle, accounting for the covariance error structure of the special estimable system....

This paper provides an interpretation of the vast literature on testing for unit roots and estimating co-integrating relations. Emphasis is placed on identifying the particular ways in which methods of dynamic specification need to be modified in order to take account of the possible presence of...

This paper develops a new test of orthogonality based on a zero restriction on the covariance between the dependent variable and the predictor. The test provides a useful alternative to regression-based tests when conditioning variables have roots close or equal to unity. In this case standard...

Time-series regressions including non-linear transformations of an integrated variable are not uncommon in various fields of economics. In particular, within the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) literature, where the effect on the environment of income levels is investigated, it is standard...

Longevity risk and the modeling of trends and volatility for mortality improvement have attracted increased attention driven by ageing populations around the world and the expected financial implications. The original Lee-Carter model that was used for longevity risk assessment included a single...

Zusammenfassung Finanzmarktdaten wie Zinsen, Aktien- oder Wechselkurse und andere spekulative Preise setzen sich durch verschiedene Besonderheiten von sonstigen ökonomischen Zeitreihendaten ab. Dieser Artikel untersucht die Konsequenzen dieser Besonderheiten für die rationale Bewertung von...

Summary We analyse German public finances against a theoretical background using a unique database, retrieved from multiple sources covering the period between 1850 and 2010.Multiple currency crises and force majeure offer anecdotal evidence contradicting the historical perception of Germany...

RESUMEN: En este trabajo se analiza el patrón estacional de la exportación semanal de tomate canario desde el ingreso de España en la Unión Europea. Un primer examen de los componentes determinísticos de la serie revela la inestabilidad de éstos, claramente vinculada a los cambios en la...

A cultura cafeeira foi e continua sendo de primordial importância para a economiabrasileira. Além de importante fonte de renda para a economia brasileira, o café temdestacada participação nas receitas cambiais, na transferência de renda entre setores e naformação de capital no setor...