The main objective of this study is to re-investigates the exchange rates predictability puzzle using monetary model. It is hypothesised that the performance of exchange rate predictability is better off in countries with monetary instability. We employ bootstrap technique as proposed by Kilian...

This paper tests the traditional monetary model of exchange rates for a sample of industrialized and emerging market economies by making use of panel techniques that allow for a high degree of heterogeneity across countries. The results demonstrated partial support for the monetary model for...

In this trading strategy study, we ask three questions. First, does momentum exist in foreign exchange markets? Second, what is the impact of transactions costs on excess returns? And, third, can a consolidated trading signal garner excess returns and, if so, what is the source of such returns?...

This paper investigates the presence of periodically collapsing rational bubbles in exchange rates for a sample of industrialised countries. A periodically collapsing rational bubble is defined as an explosive deviation from economic fundamentals with distinct expansion and contraction phases in...

This paper makes three contributions to our understanding of the price discovery process in currency markets. First, it provides evidence that this process cannot be the familiar one based on adverse selection and customer spreads, since such spreads are inversely related to a trade's likely...

This paper contributes empirically to our understanding of informed traders. It analyzes traders' characteristics in an electronic limit order market via anonymous trader identities. We use six indicators of informed trading in a cross-sectional multivariate approach to identify traders with...

This paper analyzes the behaviour and motivation of fund managers in foreign exchange markets reflected in questionnaire evidence. We find that fund managers and FX dealers differ significantly. Fund managers rely more on fundamentals, basically due to their longer forecasting horizons, and...

Accurate modeling of extreme price changes is vital to financial risk management. We examine the small sample properties of adaptive tail index estimators under the class of student-t marginal distribution functions including GARCH and propose a model-based bias-corrected estimation approach....

This study investigates the causal relationship between the official and the black (market) rate in the foreign exchange market of Armenia, following the initiation of an independent foreign exchange market, after the country seceded from the Soviet Union and from the ruble zone in 1993, over...

This thesis consists of four papers, of which paper 1 and 4 are co-written with Mikael Bask. Paper [1] <p> implements chartists trading in a sticky-price monetary model for determining the exchange rate. It is <p> demonstrated that chartists cause the exchange rate to "overshoot the overshooting...</p></p>