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In recent years, there has been increasing interest in nonparametric bootstrap inference for economic time series. Nonparametric resampling techniques help protect against overly optimistic inference in time series models of unknown structure. They are particularly useful for evaluating the fit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005671890
There is a widespread tendency in the applied time series literature to interpret rejections of the unit root null hypothesis in favor of a trend stationary process with possible trend breaks as evidence that the data are better characterized as stationary about a broken trend. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005671897
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673264
Debt strategy is defined as the manner in which a government finances an excess of government expenditures over revenues and any maturing debt issued in previous periods. The author gives a thorough qualitative description of the complexities of debt strategy analysis and then demonstrates that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005673355
We applied a notion of minimal-monotonic extention to a variety of economic models and showed that the minimal monotonic extension of a number of solutions can be easily calculated.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005200803
Complicated (chaotic), global, expectations-driven business cycles in two-dimensional models have been shown to involve non-trivial intersections of stable and unstable manifolds of a (periodic) saddle steady state. Whether similar phenomena may occur in other two-dimensional dynamic economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005811828
When firms attempt to manage their earnings disclosures by presenting evidence selectively, sophisticated inference on the part of financial market participants entails a positive association between the market to bood ratio of a firm and the skewness of the distribution of its announced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005812267
In this paper, we assess several methods that have been used to measure the Canadian trend unemployment rate (TUR). We also consider improvements and extensions to some existing methods. The assessment is based on four criteria: (i) the extent to which methods provide explanations for changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011992476
The current paper attempts to describe the labor market parameter dynamics using a different method, namely the semi-Markovian processes. This method allows for the labor market study without the large fluctuations that occurred at a certain moment in time impinging upon the results of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827561
This article presents alternative scenarios of macroeconomic dynamics for Romania. The author starts by presenting the structure of the model used for simulations. Two scenarios are developed for the 2003-2010 period. The first one, the desirable scenario, embodies performances envisaged in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827602