Forecasting temperature in time and space is an important precondition for both the design of weather derivatives and the assessment of the hedging effectiveness of index based weather insur-ance. In this article, we show how this task can be accomplished by means of Kriging techniques....

We model the dynamics of ask and bid curves in a limit order book market using a dynamic semiparametric factor model. The shape of the curves is captured by a factor structure which is estimated nonparametrically. Corresponding factor loadings are assumed to follow multivariate dynamics and are...

Controlling the bias is central to estimating semiparametric models. Many methods have been developed to control bias in estimating conditional expectations while main- taining a desirable variance order. However, these methods typically do not perform well at moderate sample sizes. Moreover,...

Decision making can be a complex process requiring the integration of several attributes of choice options. Understanding the neural processes underlying (uncertain) investment decisions is an important topic in neuroeconomics. We analyzed functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data from...

In the present paper, we build a bivariate semiparametric dynamic panel model to reproduce the joint dynamics of sovereign ratings and government bond yields. While the individual equations resemble Pesaran-type cointegration models, we allow for different long-run relationships in both...

In this paper we account for observed management practice in the estimation of aproduction function. In our model management practice is observable and we allow it toaffect output directly (neutral shift) and indirectly by affecting input productivity. Thisformulation gives us a semiparametric...

Modelling the dynamics of credit derivatives is a challenging task in finance and economics. The recent crisis has shown that the standard market models fail to measure and forecast financial risks and their characteristics. This work studies risk of collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) by...

Decision making usually involves uncertainty and risk. Understanding which parts of the human brain are activated during decisions under risk and which neural processes underly (risky) investment decisions are important goals in neuroeconomics. Here, we reanalyze functional magnetic resonance...

We consider a difference based ridge regression estimator and a Liu type estimator of the regression parameters in the partial linear semiparametric regression model, y = Xb + f + e. Both estimators are analysed and compared in the sense of mean-squared error. We consider the case of independent...

(High dimensional) time series which reveal nonstationary and possibly periodic behavior occur frequently in many fields of science. In this article, we separate the modeling of high dimensional time series to time propagation of low dimensional time series and high dimensional time invariant...