Industrial policy is ubiquitous in both developing and developed countries. In China, government intervention in favor of specific industries is believed to play an important role in economic development. The targeting of strategic industries for preferential treatment has been a central part of...

Contrary to expectations, many policies which have traditionally been recommended to alleviate unemployment are found, in fact, to exacerbate the unemployment problem. We simulate a linearised numerical version of the model. We examine seven alternative policies, six carried out by a regional...

The concept of the natural rate of unemployment is widely used in the analysis and discussion of macroeconomic policy. It is, however, unobservable so that estimates of the natural rate are necessarily based on a particular theory of unemployment. Hence, measures of the natural rate, whether...

In this paper we investigate the effect of financial deregulation on the relationship between the macro-economy and the share market within the framework of a VAR using quarterly Australian data for four variables - aggregate share prices, real output, the term premium and the default premium....

We urge macroeconomists to abandon the 'natural rate' as an analytical device on the ground that it has become a source of great and growing confusion. But we press them to recognise that it has great potential as a policy tool provided we grasp the central idea of a hypothetical unemployment...

The rate of economic growth in China over the last 50 years has been remarkable. However this has only highlighted the inequalities between regions in China, making for considerable disquiet at the highest levels of Chinese policy-making. Not everyone has benefited from the same levels of...

This paper uses quarterly US data from 1953(6) to 2000(6) to investigate the effects of share-price changes on investment. We focus on the distinction between speculative and fundamental components of share-price movements and we contribute to the literature by evaluating four alternative...

This paper analyses the efficacy of regional and federal government policies in reducing inter-regional unemployment disparities. We use as our framework a two-region general equilibrium model with a given freely-mobile supply of labour. We assume interregional migration to occur in response to...

Using theoretical foundations, VAR restrictions are imposed allowing demand and supply sources of output movement to be distinguished and the effects of their shocks on stock prices to be analysed. Stock prices are sensitive to all shocks although the influence from the real economy to the stock...

Using 20 years of Australian quarterly data, this paper decomposes Australian share prices into their fundamental and speculative components. To do this we derive the fundamental share-price-output ratio and, hence, the fundamental share price from a resticted vector-autoregressive model...