Thoenig, Mathias; Zilibotti, Fabrizio; Rohner, Dominic - Society for Economic Dynamics - SED - 2011
The theory bears some testable predictions. First, the probability of future civil wars increases after each conflict episode. Second, a sequence of "accidental" conflicts can lead to the permanent breakdown of trust, plunging a society into a state of recurrent conflicts (a war trap). This...