Showing 221 - 230 of 72,059
In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a … helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of … the model to account for the joint dynamics of output and inflation rely on its ability to explain the dynamics in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604350
This paper elaborates on the alternative measure of persistence recently suggested in Marques (2004), which is based on the idea of mean reversion. A formal distinction between the “unconditional probability of a given process not crossing its mean in period t” and its estimator, is made...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604496
In most OECD countries, we cannot reject up to three breaks in the mean of inflation: one break in the late 1960’s … phenomena. We also show that ignoring breaks in the mean of inflation clearly lead to overrate inflation persistence in standard … bi-variate models of inflation. The response of inflation to shocks in these models is markedly faster with breaks than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604497
This paper analyses the response of inflation in the euro area to five macroeconomic shocks through the use of results … a TFP shock, generate marked inflation persistence. In contrast, an indirect tax and an oil price shock appear much less … persistent and a social security shock generates less inflation persistence in the majority of the countries (although some weak …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604567
Surprisingly it did not, or at least not directly. Using micro data on consumer prices and sectoral inflation rates … has altered the behaviour of retail price setting and/or inflation dynamics. We find no evidence that anything has changed … earlier patterns. On the contrary, we do find evidence of a decline in the persistence of the inflation process in the mid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604643
We investigate co-movements and heterogeneity in inflation dynamics of different regions within and across euro area … countries using a novel disaggregate dataset to improve the understanding of inflation differentials in the European Monetary … Union. We employ a model where regional inflation dynamics are explained by common euro area and country specific factors as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604727
equilibrium values having explanatory power for subsequent consumer price inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604784
We estimate the approximate nonlinear solution of a small DSGE model on euro area data, using the conditional particle filter to compute the model likelihood. Our results are consistent with previous findings, based on simulated data, suggesting that this approach delivers sharper inference...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604800
looking pricing account for the observed persistence in aggregate inflation. Second, price-setting responds to movements in … marginal costs, which should therefore be the driving force to observed inflation dynamics. This is not always the case in … conditions under which imposing homogeneity results in overestimating a backward-looking component in (aggregate) inflation, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604831
Under inflation targeting inflation exhibits negative serial correlation in the United Kingdom, and little or no …, inflation appears to be (nearly) purely forward-looking, so that no mechanism introducing backward-looking components is … necessary to fit the data. These results question the notion that the intrinsic inflation persistence found in post-WWII U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604897