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measures of linear dependence and feedback indicate strong connections between the respective markets, futures volatility does … not significantly explain spot market volatility, nor does it increase after futures introductions. To account for the … characteristics of the spot and futures returns a SWARCH model has been employed to estimate volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400838
There is strong evidence that interest rates and bond yield movements exhibit both stochastic volatility and … associated bond yields by estimating the volatility and jump risk premia in highly volatile markets. Using the simulated method … of moments (SMM), results suggest that all variants of models which do not take into account stochastic volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400896
high volatility in their revenues, this paper proposes a fiscal policy rule for Kiribati which is nested within a medium … revenue volatility. It also discusses improvements in the institutional fiscal policy framework that could support such a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400921
This paper presents a method to test the volatility predictions of the textbook asset-pricing exchange rate model … builds on existing tests of excess volatility in asset prices, combining them with a procedure that extracts unobservable … 1984 and find broad evidence of excess exchange rate volatility with respect to the predictions of the canonical asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400941
Gaining a better understanding of the behavior of international investors is key for informing the debate about the optimal response to capital flows and about reforms to the international financial architecture. In this context, recent research on the behavior of international mutual funds at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400976
volatility creates risks to service provision, possibly entailing sudden tax changes, or even requiring new borrowing. After … fiscal savings (reserves), and the impact alternate policy choices could have on revenue volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400988
country’s growth volatility changes over time. With volatility below a threshold, an inflow of foreign capital has promoted … growth. However, during periods of volatile growth, more flows have been associated with slower growth. Volatility levels and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401025
This paper explores the link between exchange rate volatility of European currencies and economic performance of … several countries in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). The elimination of intra euro-zone exchange rate volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401053
This paper studies the effect of instrumental and institutional stabilization of exchange rate volatility on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401231
, such capital controls have the merit of reducing the volatility of exchange rates following a monetary shock. On the other … hand, the implementation increases exchange rate volatility in the short run and induces costs for the real sector in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401234