In this paper we contrast a number of univariate models of Canadian GDP. Our preferred models are used to provide a business cycle chronology for Canada, which is compared with some existing, more judgmentally determined chronologies. We find that a simple, 'two quarters of negative growth' rule...

The paper presents evidence on whether Hong Kong's currency board arrangement, in place since 1983, has affected the volatility of real macroeconomic variables. Simple evidence on the relative volatilities of relevant macroeconomic variables before and after 1983 is presented, before a more...

We address the question of whether asymmetry in the business cycle and asymmetry in the persistence of negative versus positive shocks characterises Australian output growth. Using nonlinear time series models we provide some evidence consistent with the idea that Australian output growth is...

Preface: Prospect of good governance in ASEAN (Sri Mulyani) -- Introduction: Doing business in ASEAN markets: what is do different? (Peter Verhezen, Ian Williamson, Mark Crosby & Natalia Soebagjo) -- Section 1: Economic Outlook and Institutional Voids -- Chapter 1: Economic Outlook for Southeast...

In this paper we contrast a number of univariate models of Canadian GDP. Our preferred models are used to provide a business cycle chronology for Canada, which is compared with some existing, more judgmentally determined chronologies. We find that a simple, "two quarters of negative growth" rule...

New growth theories emphasize the role played by innovation in promoting economic growth. Since it is difficult to quantify the amount of innovation undertaken in an economy, there is little available empirical evidence assessing the contribution made by innovation to growth, in contrast to...