This paper investigates the accuracy of a perturbation method in approximating the solution to stochastic equilibrium models under rational expectations. As a benchmark model, we use a version of asset pricing models proposed by Burnside [1988] which admits a closed-form solution while not...

We propose to apply to the simulation of general nonlinear rational-expectation models a method where the expectation functions are approximated through a higher-order Taylor expansion. This method has been advocated by Judd (1998) and others for the simulation of stochastic optimal-control...

This paper presents stochastic simulations of a non-linear Phillips curve model with a random shock on the labor market, a random shock on inflation, and 20 state variables to represent a rather complex dynamical adjustment. Various methods are used to perform the simulations: two approaches to...

This is the third of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we estimate a small...

The development and use of forward-looking macro models in policymaking institutions has proceeded at a pace much slower than predicted in the early 1980s. An important reason is that researchers have not had access to robust and efficient solution techniques for solving nonlinear...