In this paper, we investigate the long run dynamics of the intraday range of the GBP/USD, JPY/USD and CHF/USD exchange rates. We use a non-parametric filter to extract the low frequency component of the intraday range, and model the cyclical deviation of the range from the long run trend as a...

In this paper, we evaluate alternative optimization frameworks for constructing portfolios of hedge funds. Using monthly hedge fund index returns for the period 1990 to 2011, we compare the standard mean-variance optimization model with models based on CVaR, CDaR and Omega, for both conservative...

In this paper, we develop a theoretical model to explain the well-established empirical regularities that have been documented in the literature on closed-end funds (CEFs). In the presence of heterogeneous beliefs and short-sale constraints, both the CEF price and the price of the assets that it...

In this paper, we evaluate the economic benefits that arise from allowing for long memory in forecasting the covariance matrix of returns over both short and long horizons, using the asset allocation framework of Engle and Colacito (2006). In particular, we compare the statistical and economic...

We report that excess returns in the bond market exhibit the same features of short-term momentum and long-term reversals that are observed in the equity market. We test whether these findings can be accounted for within a behavioral framework using the expectations of the short yield that are...

We investigate the dynamics of the relationship between returns and extreme downside risk in different states of the market by combining the framework of Bali, Demirtas, and Levy (2009) with a Markov switching mechanism. We show that the risk-return relationship identified by Bali, Demirtas, and...

We propose a behavioral explanation for the widely reported rejection of the rational expectations model of the term structure of interest rates. We distinguish between public and private information and show that overconfidence among investors about the precision of private information can...

Empirical rejections of the rational expectations hypothesis (REH) in the bond market have attracted much attention. In this paper we demonstrate that if agents have information about next period's short yield in addition to that contained in the current short yield, a small sample bias arises...

There is now widespread evidence that investment strategies based on value and momentum have been profitable in the past. Moreover, combining value and momentum into a single investment strategy provides investment performance that is less sensitive to market cyclicality. However, portfolio...

In this paper, we document a very strong day-of-the-month effect in the performance of momentum strategies in the foreign exchange market. We show that this seasonality in trading strategy performance is attributable to seasonality in the conditional volatility of foreign exchange returns, and...