This paper proposes new estimators for the daily return variance which are based on common intraday statistics (opening, high, low, and closing prices). These estimators utilize information contained in products of absolute values of uncorrelated intraday statistics. An empirical study of nine...

This paper proposes new estimators for the daily return variance which are based on common intraday statistics (opening, high, low, and closing prices). These estimators utilize information contained in products of absolute values of uncorrelated intraday statistics. An empirical study of nine...

Previous findings indicate that the inclusion of dynamic factors obtained from a large set of predictors can improve macroeconomic forecasts. In this paper, we explore three possible further developments: (i) using automatic criteria for choosing those factors which have the greatest predictive...

The goal of this paper is to search for conclusive evidence against the stationarity of the global air surface temperature, which is one of the most important indicators of climate change. For this purpose, possible long-range dependencies are investigated in the frequency-domain. Since...

For typical sample sizes occurring in economic and financial applications, the squared bias of estimators for the memory parameter is small relative to the variance. Smoothing is therefore a suitable way to improve the performance in terms of the mean squared error. However, in an analysis of...