There have been various opinions formulated on the introduction of property tax and the expected revenues. It is this debate we wish to contribute to in several respects. A critical point of the introduction and operation of property tax is determining the base of the tax, i.e. the value of...

A lakáspiac a monetáris politika alakításának egyre fontosabb tényezője lesz. A ta nulmány a lakáspiac monetáris transzmisszióban betöltött szerepét igyekszik bemu tatni, külön figyelmet fordítva a magyar folyamatokra. A szerzők elsőként a fejlett országok tapasztalatait...

The housing market becomes more essential in monetary policy. This paper attempts to analyse the role of the housing market in the monetary transmission mechanism with special focus on Hungary. The study first summarizes the experiences of developed countries, paying special attention to issues...

The aim of this paper is to study preference heterogeneity in monetary policy committees of inflation-targeting (IT) countries in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) during the period 2005–2010. It employs (individual) voting records of the Monetary Council of the Magyar Nemzeti Bank (the central...

This paper, requested by the Monetary Council, attempts to determine the level of inflation consistent with price stability, taking into account the characteristics of the Hungarian economy. Price stability is defined as the level of inflation that allows the maximisation of social welfare on a...

Credit to the private sector has been growing very rapidly in a number of Central and Eastern European countries in recent years. The main question is whether this dynamics is an equilibrium convergence process or may rather pose stability risks. Using panel econometric techniques, this paper...

This document gives a detailed account of the current version of the Hungarian Quarterly Projection Model (NEM). It describes the main building blocks, presents the forecast performance of the model and, finally, it illustrates the responses to the most important shocks the Hungarian economy may...

This paper analyses Hungarian inflation expectations drawn from Reuters survey of professional forecasters. Comparing individual forecasts to macroeconomic consensus leads to the conclusion that - in line with theoretical considerations - averaging single projections results in significant gains...

One important characteristic of dwellings is that housing can be regarded as an investment or asset. Our paper focuses on this function of dwellings and develops a stochastic portfolio choice model for the housing market, which is easy to incorporate into medium and large-scale macro models....

Cyclically adjusted budget deficit (CAB) is a widely cited and used concept in the evaluation of fiscal situation. The key idea behind it is to separate temporary and/or non-discretionary effects on budget deficit from the underlying balance and/or effects of discretionary measures of fiscal...