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This paper models political risk in international capital budgeting by utilising stochastic calculus. We assume that expropriation events are Poisson distributed across time and that the exchange rate follows a geometric Brownian motion process. The solution to our model is closed form. Examples...
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We examine the sensitivity of 31 UK non-financial industries to exchange and interest rate exposure from 1990 to 2006 using first-order autoregressive exponential GARCH-in-mean (EGARCH-M) model. We find that the stock returns of UK industries are more affected by long-term interest rate risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910378
Shipping is an industry that is highly geared towards international trade and therefore, would seem to be highly susceptible to fluctuations in macroeconomic factors. This article investigates the impact of exchange rates, interest rates and oil prices on stock returns of 143 shipping companies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910381
This paper examines the relationship between dividend-based and earnings-based cost of equity capital estimates under temporary competitive advantage. A new insight is that the true cost of equity is shown to approach the geometric mean of the supernormal dividend-based and simple earnings-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910383
The purpose of this paper is to develop a valuation model for projects, explicitly taking into account the combined effects of taxation and the risk of obsolescence. In the modelling process it is assumed that a project's pre-tax net operating cash flows follow a geometric Brownian motion with a...
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