Cet article étudie les implications, en termes de stabilité économique, de la relation entre le degré d’indépendance de la Banque centrale et le degré de transparence (ou d’opacité) de la politique monétaire dans un modèle qui tient explicitement compte des marchés financiers et...

I study forty-six vintages of FRB/US, the principal macro model used by the Federal Reserve, as measures of real-time model uncertainty and examine the robustness of commonly applied, simple monetary policy rules. Model uncertainty turns out to be a substantial problem: key model properties...

We explore the possibility that a housing market boombust cycle may arise when public beliefs are driven by news shocks. News, imperfect and noisy by nature, may generate expectations that are overly optimistic or pessimistic. Overoptimism easily leads to excessive accumulation of housing assets...

We draw on a comprehensive set of data of all registered firms in Thailand to examine whether firm size affects the relation between leverage and operating performance during the global financial crisis of 2007–2009. From a data set of 496,430 firm-year observations of a sample of 170,013...

We derive a New Keynesian Phillips curve under Calvo staggered pricing and endogenous market structures with Bertrand competition. Both strategic interactions and endogenous business creation strengthen the nominal rigidities. Price adjusters change their prices less when there are more direct...

This paper analyzes how the movements of the policy interest rate affect bank-relevant variables through changes in the composition of the loan portfolio. Using a computational approach that fully accounts for borrowers’ heterogeneity, we show how the variety of bank customers changes and how...

We provide evidence on the nature of the monetary transmission mechanism. To identify policy shocks in a setting with both economic and financial variables, we combine traditional monetary vector autoregression (VAR) analysis with high frequency identification (HFI) of monetary policy shocks. We...

We evaluate possible explanations for the absence of a persistent decline in inflation during the Great Recession and find commonly suggested explanations to be insufficient. We propose a new explanation for this puzzle within the context of a standard Phillips curve. If firms' inflation...

Natural response to the financial crisis is mostly increased regulation. This was happened in history, as well as in the global financial crisis today. The reasons for this usually lie in the fact that the one of the main considered direct causes of the crisis is insufficient or incorrect...

In recent years, as a result of the financial crisis, several proposals have been put forward to restore some role for gold in the monetary system. In particular, there has been a proposal to employ gold as a nominal anchor or asset for the exchange rates between the most important and tradable...