We propose a vector autoregressive moving average process as a model for daily weather data. For the rainfall variable a monotonic transformation is applied to achieve marginal normality, thus defining a latent variable, with zero rainfall data corresponding to censored values below a threshold....

Inflation forecasts are in great demand by agents in financial markets and monetary authorities that also require frequent updates. In the case of the EMU, these can be done monthly using Harmonised Indices of Consumer Prices (HICP). Analysing the HICP it was detected in a previous paper that...

This paper analyses the effects caused by outliers on the identification and estimation of GARCH models. We show that outliers can lead to detect spurious conditional heteroscedasticity and can also hide genuine ARCH effects. First, we derive the asymptotic biases caused by outliers on the...

An effective way of improving the reliability of a system is the allocation of active redundancy. Let 1 X , 2 X be independent lifetimes of the components 1 C and 2 C , respectively, which form a series system. Let denote ( ) ( ) 2 1 1 , , max min X X X U = and ( ) ( ) X X X U , max , min 2 1 2...

We study the efficiency properties of the goodness-of-fit test based on the Qn statistic introduced in Fortiana and Grané (2003) using the concepts of Bahadur asymptotic relative efficiency and Bahadur asymptotic optimality. We compare the test based on this statistic with those based on the...

The objective of this paper is to analyze the consequences of fitting ARIMA-GARCH models to series generated by conditionally heteroscedastic unobserved component models. Focusing on the local level model, we show that the heteroscedasticity is weaker in the ARIMA than in the local level...

This paper addresses the multi-armed bandit problem with switching costs. Asawa and Teneketzis (1996) introduced an index that partly characterizes optimal policies, attaching to each bandit state a "continuation index" (its Gittins index) and a "switching index". They proposed to jointly...

We present two statistical depth functions given in terms of the random variable defined as the minimum number of observations of a random vector that are needed to include a fixed given point in their convex hull. This random variable measures the degree of outlyingness of a point with respect...

It has been often empirically observed that the sample autocorrelations of absolute financial returns are larger than those of squared returns. This property, know as Taylor effect, is analysed in this paper in the Stochastic Volatility (SV) model framework. We show that the stationary...

In this paper, we present a model to deal with the problem of matching M objects or configurations of points. This is a generalization of the model proposed by Green and Mardia (2006). We consider, as a direct and simple application, the case of three configurations with labelled and with...