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Se presentan argumentos que indican que es necesario, ahora, diseñar una estrategia convincente de generación de superávit fiscales primarios futuros (permanentes) cuyo rango está entre 0.9% y 1.5% del PIB, de manera que el actual nivel de endeudamiento pueda ser juzgado sostenible. En tal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113948
En este artículo se muestra el marco teórico implícito en la restricción presupuestaria intertemporal del gobierno. A partir de este, se realizan una serie de simulaciones sobre el problema de sostenibilidad de la deuda pública, y los sacrificios fiscales necesarios para juzgar el actual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010762745
ResumenSe desarrolla el marco teorico implicito en la restricción presupuestaria intertemporal del gobierno. A partir de este se realizan una serie de simulaciones sobre el problema de sostenibilidad de la deuda publica, y los sacrificios fiscales necesarios para juzgar el actual nivel de...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010763225
Se presentan argumentos que indican que es necesario, ahora, diseñar una estrategia convincente de generación de superávit fiscales primarios futuros (permanentes) cuyo rango está entre 0.9% y 1.5% del PIB, de manera que el actual nivel de endeudamiento pueda ser juzgado sostenible. En tal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768075
The worst global downturn since the Great Depression has caused ballooning budget deficits in most nations, as tax revenues collapse and governments bail out financial institutions and attempt countercyclical fiscal policy. With notable exceptions, most economists accept the desirability of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333044
This paper argues that the loose monetary policy of two of the world's most important financial institutions-the US Federal Reserve Board and the European Central Bank-were ultimately responsible for the outburst of global financial crisis of 2008 - 09. Unusually low interest rates in 2001 - 05...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011551454
The empirical literature using vector autoregressive models to assess the effects of fiscal policy shocks strongly disagrees on even the qualitative response of key macroeconomic variables to government spending and tax shocks. We provide new evidence for the U.S. over the period 1955-2006. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604923
We analyze data from an author-conducted survey of members of the French and German parliaments on European Monetary Union reform preferences. We consider three potential drivers of preferences: nationality, ideology, and personal characteristics. For European Monetary Union policies like...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984450
The study analyses the dynamics and the structure of Ukraine's public finances. It assesses the medium-term impact of fiscal austerity 2014-2016, examines fiscal sustainability and estimates further fiscal adjustment efforts. It evaluates the economic and social implications of current fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012100153
The pressures on fiscal consolidation have mounted dramatically in the wake of the Greek and then the 'contagion' crisis which followed it (across the so-called 'weakest links' Portugal, Spain, Italy, Ireland). It led to the setting-up of the 750 billion euro stabilisation package widely seen as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012100211