We propose a sequential test for predictive ability. The test is designed for recursive regressions in which the researcher is interested in recursively assessing whether some economic variables have predictive or explanatory content for another variable. It is common in the forecasting...

The paper uses and extends the Efficient Method of Moments (EMM) technique to estimate and test continuous time diffusion models for stock returns and interest rates. The EMM technique, developed in previous papers by Gallatn and Tauchen along with various collaborators, is a simulation-based...

This paper examines determinants of being disabled in Russia, along with the probability of moving from one disability status to another, using data from 1994 through 2002 from the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey. Disability risk rises with age, declines with income and self-reported good...

This paper considers the dynamic producer and consumer benefits from improving habitat that supports a commercial fishery under two different fishery management institutions. By coupling state equations that represent the effects of estuarine eutrophication on fish populations with a...

Research over the past several years has led to development of models characterizing equilibrium in a system of local jurisdictions. An important insight from these models is that plausible single-crossing assumptions about preferences generate strong predictions about the equilibrium...