We consider representation, estimation and inference on cointegration in a periodic vector autoregressive time series model (PVAR). We show that cointegration amounts to a restriction on a product of parameter matrices. We therefore use GMM to construct estimators of the long-run (cointegration)...

The EC (Estimation-Classification) estimator, and its companion EC-algorithm, were introduced in El- Gamal and Grether (1995), and their properties further analyzed in El-Gamal and Grether (1996). The purpose of EC estimation is to uncover heterogeneity in panel data models in a manner which is...

In this poper we present a consistent spacification test of a parametric regression function against a general nonparametric alternative. The proposed test is based on wavelet estimation ant it is shown to have similar rates of convergence to the more commonly used kernel based tests.

In this poper we present a consistent spacification test of a parametric regression function against a general nonparametric alternative. The proposed test is based on wavelet estimation ant it is shown to have similar rates of convergence to the more commonly used kernel based tests.

We construct limiting and small sample distributions of maximum likelihood estimators (mle) from the property that they satisfy the first order condition (foc). The foc relates the mle of the analyzed model to the mle of an encompassing model and shows that the mle of the analyzed model is a...

This paper outlines a strategic plan for the development of the fourth generation of Bank of Canada projection and policy analysis models. The plan features a new Canadian workhorse macroeconomic model as well as a suite of alternative models to better support a risk management approach to...

This paper compares the performance of simple inflation targeting (IT) and price-level path targeting (PLPT) rules to stabilize the macroeconomy, in response to a series of shocks, similar to those seen in Canada and the United States over the 1983 to 2004 period. The analysis is conducted in a...

This paper compares the performance of simple inflation targeting (IT) and price-level path targeting (PLPT) rules to stabilize the macroeconomy, in response to a series of shocks, similar to those seen in Canada and the United States over the 1983 to 2004 period. The analysis is conducted in a...

This paper deals with the estimation and testing of conditional duration models by looking at the density and baseline hazard functions. More precisely, we focus on the distance between the aprametric density (or hazard rate) function implied by the duration process and its non-parametric estimate.

This paper presents a simulation procedure that uses GIS technology for integrating accessibility to services and working places in order to improve modeling of houses values. Most real estate models use simple functions of distance to CBD in order to evaluate access to services and centrality....