Recent research has documented that learning and evolution are capable of generating many well-known features in financial times series. We extend the results of LeBaron and Yamamoto (2007) to explore the impact of varying amounts of imitation and agent learning in a simple order-driven market....

This article explores the relation between serial correlation and volatility for several different stock return series at daily and weekly frequencies. It is found that serial correlations are changing over time and are related to stock return volatility. An extension to the GARCH model is...

Simple deterministic systems are capable of generating chaotic output that "mimics" the output of stochastic systems. For this reason, algorithms have been developed to distinguish between these two alternatives. These algorithms and related statistical tests are also useful in detecting the...

Combining ideas from evolution and learning to understand empirical puzzles in financial markets is a growing area of interest in economic research. This paper provides a short survey of some of the ongoing work in this area with special attention paid to computational models relying on...

There is reliable evidence that simple rules used by traders have some predictive value over the future movement of foreign exchange prices. This paper will review some of this evidence and discuss the economic magnitude of this predictability. The profitability of these trading rules will then...

Various studies of asset markets have shown that traders are capable of learning and transmitting information through prices in many situations. In this paper we replace human traders with intelligent software agents in a series of simulated markets. Using these simple learning agents, we are...

This paper seeks to develop a structural model that lets data on asset returns and trading volume speak to whether volatility autocorrelation comes from the fundamental that the trading process is pricing or, is caused by the trading process itself. Returns and volume data argue, in the context...

There is reliable evidence that simple rules used by traders have some predictive value over the future movement of foreign exchange prices. This paper will review some of this evidence and discuss the economic magnitude of this predictability. The profitability of these trading rules will then...

This paper uses an agent based financial market calibrated to aggregate data. It shows how these markets are able to magnify the volatility of fundamentals, and to create time series with persistent volatility. The mechanism for this persistence is explored using several of the time series...