This paper investigates the sources of both foreign exchange rate and interest rate exposure of industry level portfolios in the G7, decomposing exposure into cash flow and discount rate effects. Initial examination of the degree of exposure on industry returns produces results consistent with...

We perform a comprehensive examination of the recursive, comparative predictive performance of a number of linear and non-linear models for UK stock and bond returns. We estimate Markov switching, threshold autoregressive (TAR), and smooth transition autoregressive (STR) regime switching models,...

This paper investigates the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on the value of nonfinancial firms in Chile. Using a detailed dataset on firms' foreign activities, the potential determinants of the identified exposure are examined. Foreign exchange exposure depends on the levels of foreign...

We examine whether simple VARs can produce empirical portfolio rules similar to those obtained under a range of multivariate Markov switching models, by studying the effects of expanding both the order of the VAR and the number/selection of predictor variables included. In a typical stock-bond...

We use multivariate regime switching vector autoregressive models to characterize the time-varyinglinkages among the Irish stock market, one of the top world performers of the 1990s, and the US andUK stock markets. We ¯nd that two regimes, characterized as bear and bull states, are required...

This study investigates the sensitivity of stock returns at the industry level to market, exchange rateand interest rate shocks in the four major European economies: France, Germany, Italy and the UK.In addition to exposure to the market, significant levels of exposure to both exchange rate...

In this paper we investigate the stock market response to international monetary policychanges in the UK and Germany. Specifically, we analyse the impact of (un)expectedchanges in UK and German/Euro area policy rates on UK and German aggregate andsectoral equity returns in an event study. The...

This paper examines the price impact of trading intensity on an emerging futures market. Utilizing anovel volume-augmented duration model of price discovery, the intensity effect is decomposed intoliquidity and information components for the MexDer 28-day interest rate futures contract. We...

We systematically examine the comparative predictive performance of a number of alternativelinear and non-linear models for stock and bond returns in the G7 countries. Besides Markovswitching, threshold autoregressive (TAR), and smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) regimeswitching...

We systematically examine the comparative predictive performance of a number of alternative linear and non-linear models for stock and bond returns in the G7 countries. Besides Markov switching, threshold autoregressive (TAR), and smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) regime switching...