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Tests of the null hypothesis of stationarity against the unit root alternative play an increasingly important role in empirical work in macroeconomics and in international finance. We show that the use of conventional asymptotic critical values for stationarity tests may cause extreme size...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005487049
Recent tests using long data series find evidence in favor of long-run PPP (by rejecting either the null hypothesis of unit roots in real exchange rates and relative prices.)
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005432387
In this paper, we make use of state space models to investigate the presence of stochastic trends in economic time series. A model is specified where such a trend can enter either in the autoregressive representation or in a separate state equation. Tests based on the former are analogous to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005660913
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005687556
We propose methods to test for common deterministic seasonality, while allowing for possible seasonal unit roots. For this purpose, we consider panel methods, where we allow for individualand for common dynamics. To decide on the presence of seasonal unit roots, we introduce a decision-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005775826
In this paper we propose a sequential testing procedure to determine the order of differencing in seasonally observed time series processes, which builds existing approaches developed for nonseasonal series. We allow for the possible presence of multiple unit roots at both zero and seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005625197
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005625215
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005729678
Recent tests using long data series find evidence in favor of long-run PPP (by rejecting either the null hypothesis of unit roots in real exchange rates and relative prices.)
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005618511
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005133052