This paper puts forward a data collection method to measure weekly consumer confidence at the individual level. The data thus obtained allow to statistically analyze the dynamic correlation of such a consumer confidence indicator and to draw inference on transition rates, which is not possible...

Based on simple time series plots and periodic sample autocorrelations, we document that monthly river flow data display long memory, in addition to pronounced seasonality. In fact, it appears that the long memory characteristics vary with the season. To describe these two properties jointly, we...

We visualize a a web server log by means of multidimensional scaling. To that end, a so-called dissimilarity metric is introduced in the sets of sessions and pages respectively. We interpret the resulting visualizations and find some interesting patterns.

This article proposes a modified method for the construction of diffusion indexes in macroeconomic forecasting using principal component regres- sion. The method aims to maximize the amount of variance of the origi- nal predictor variables retained by the diffusion indexes, by matching the data...

Subjective probabilities play an important role in marketing research, for example where individuals rate the likelihood that they will purchase a new to develop product. The tau-equivalent model can describe the joint behaviour of multiple test items measuring the same subjective probability....

Pre-election polls can suffer from survey effects. For instance, individuals taking part in the poll may become more aware of the upcoming election so that they become more inclined to vote. Such effects cause biases in forecasted outcomes of elections. We propose a simple methodology that takes...

When tracks are out of service for maintenance during a certain period, trains cannot be operated on those tracks. This leads to a modified timetable, and results in infeasible rolling stock and crew schedules. Therefore, these schedules need to be repaired. The topic of this paper is the...

This short note presents the R package AdMit which provides flexible functions to approximate a certain target distribution and it provides an efficient sample of random draws from it, given only a kernel of the target density function. The estimation procedure is fully automatic and thus avoids...

We discuss computational aspects of likelihood-based specification, estimation,inference, and forecasting of possibly nonstationary series with long memory. We use the \ARFIMA$(p,d,q)$ model with deterministic regressors and we compare sampling characteristics of approximate and exact...

With the advent of advanced data collection techniques, there is an increased interest in using econometric models to support decisions in marketing. Due to the sometimes specific nature of variables in marketing, the discipline uses econometric models that are rarely, if ever, used elsewhere....