Using an outlier identification methodology this study assesses the impact of extreme news and economic announcements have on the daily log-returns of 16 commodity spot price series and 25 commodity index series and their conditional volatility. Between January 1, 1997 and December 31, 2007, the...

In this paper we present and extend the approach of Bollerslev and Zhang (2003) for quot;realizedquot; measures and co-measures of risk in some classical asset pricing models, such as the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) of Sharpe (1964) and the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) model by Ross...

Wavelets based on undifferenced cash and futures log are used to determine causality in the aluminum markets. Wavelets are used versus I(d) processes as daily I(d)s adjusted for conditional heteroskedasticity, are not second-order stationary. Weekly I(d)s are second-order stationary after...

After more than a decade of existence, crypto-currencies may now be considered an important class of assets presenting some unique appealing characteristics but also sharing some features with real financial assets. This paper provides a comprehensive statistical analysis of the six most...

Using more than two years of daily interest rate cap price data, this paper provides a systematic documentation of a volatility smile in cap prices. We find that Black (1976) implied volatilities exhibit an asymmetric smile (sometimes called a sneer) with a stronger skew for in-the-money caps...

This paper generalizes the Bollerslev and Zhang (2003) approach for the estimation of loadings of asset pricing models using "realized" measures and co-measures of risk. We propose here to extend this approach by including higher-moments in asset pricing models. Estimations are conducted using...

We survey the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. We highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend promising directions for future research. This survey is designed for both financial economists interested in grasping...

This research paper tries to detect the nonlinearity and chaos structure in the South East Asia Countries Capital Markets. The capital markets of three South East Asia Countries are chosen: Indonesia, Philippine, and Singapore. Daily return data of Capital Markets composite indices are observed:...

This study reconsiders the role of jumps for volatility forecasting by showing that jumps have a positive and mostly significant impact on future volatility. This result becomes apparent once volatility is separated into its continuous and discontinuous component using estimators which are not...

Hedge fund managers differ in ability and investors want to distinguish good ones from bad. Via the design of their investment strategies, better fund managers want to ease this inference problem while worse fund managers want to complicate it. We impose only the minimal restrictions on the...