Institutions that rely on joint liability to facilitate lending to the poor have a long history and are now a common feature of many developing countries. Economists have proposed several theories of joint liability lending that stress various aspects of its informational and enforcement...

This paper develops a procedure for testing hypotheses on the full set of cointegration parameters of the I(2) model. The proposed test is applied to the analysis of small-country import price determination extending the standard empirical framework to allow for variables integrated of order...

There is increasing controversy regarding the basic characteristics of British industrialization. This paper takes a fresh look at total factor productivity growth in agriculture and industry, suggests a new method in estimating it adopting a probability approach, and presents some new results....

The partial adjustment model for cigarette demand in Tansel (1993) is formulated as a restriction on the more general VAR model. The question whether the Tansel estimation results are spurious as claimed by Cameron and Collins (1998) is addressed in this framework. The role of intervention...

An important claim of Bayesian learning and a standard assumption in price discovery models is that the strength of the price impact of unanticipated information depends on the precision of the news. In this paper, we test for this assumption by analyzing intra-day price responses of CBOT T-bond...

We consider selecting a regression model, using a variant of Gets, when there are more variables than observations, in the special case that the variables are impulse dummies (indicators) for every observation. We show that the setting is unproblematic if tackled appropriately, and obtain the...

In my earlier paper entitled "Bayesian Analysis - Applications to Danish Data" marginal posterior probability distributions for parameters in two regression models were analysed. In this article we shall be concerned with the analysis of conditional posterior probability distributions for...

In a two period strategic model of entry deterrence (a la Dixit, 1980) where the incumbent firm moves before the entrant by installing capacity for production, in a (perfect) equilibrium excess capacity is not observed under a deterministic demand. The question is: Does this result remain valid...

In this paper we discuss the problem of identification in a model with cointegration. It is pointed out that there is an identification problem for both long-run parameters and short-run parameters. The identification of the equations and the cointegrating relations is achieved by linear...

We characterize the restrictions imposed by the minimal I(2)-to-I(1) transformation that underlies much applied work, e.g. on money demand relationships or open-economy pricing relationships. The relationship between the parameters of the original I(2) vector autoregression, including the...