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no leverage, carry trade is significantly profitable for most currency pairs and portfolios. Positive returns do not … with the leveraged nature of carry trade: leverage may increase profitability but it materially increases downside risk. We … argue that market inefficiency is related to the level of leverage. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494390
no leverage, carry trade is significantly profitable for most currency pairs and portfolios. Positive returns do not … with the leveraged nature of carry trade: leverage may increase profitability but it materially increases downside risk. We … argue that market inefficiency is related to the level of leverage. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005523132
argue that market inefficiency is related to the level of leverage. -- Bootstrap ; Currency market ; Diversification … no leverage, carry trade is significantly profitable for most currency pairs and portfolios. Positive returns do not … with the leveraged nature of carry trade: leverage may increase profitability but it materially increases downside risk. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003774170
We investigate the dynamic interconnectedness among the major world cross-currency basis swap spreads during tranquil and turbulent times. We examine whether movements in the bases are merely anecdotal or provide evidence of contagion, the most central basis for spillover propagation, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823162
This paper re-examines the UIP relation by estimating first a benchmark linear Cointegrated VAR including the nominal exchange rate and the interest rate differential as well as central bank announcements, and then a Cointegrated Smooth Transition VAR (CVSTAR) model incorporating nonlinearities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508617
This paper investigates the PPP and UIP conditions by taking into account possible nonlinearities as well as the role of Taylor rule deviations under alternative monetary policy frameworks. The analysis is conducted using monthly data from January 1993 to December 2020 for five...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012491545
We examine the causal relationship between US monetary policy shocks, exchange rates and currency excess returns for a sample of eight advanced countries over the period 1980M1 to 2022M11. We find that the dynamics of the US dollar exchange rate is the main driver of currency excess returns. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014305726
This paper investigates the PPP and UIP conditions by taking into account possible nonlinearities as well as the role of Taylor rule deviations under alternative monetary policy frameworks. The analysis is conducted using monthly data from January 1993 to December 2020 for five...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236279
This article investigates the exchange rate volatility spillover and dynamic conditional correlation between the euro and the South African rand following the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis. It employs two multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (MGARCH) models,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012215203
In this paper, we study the effectiveness of carry trade strategies during and after the financial crisis using a flexible approach to modeling currency returns. We decompose the currency returns into multiplicative sign and absolute return components, which exhibit much greater predictability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313235