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A Kalman filter, suitable for application to a stationary or a non-stationary time series, is proposed. It works on time series with missing values. It can be used on seasonal time series where the associated state space model may not satisfy the traditional observability condition. A new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005581117
A Kalman filter for application to stationary or non-stationary time series is proposed. A major feature is a new initialisation method to accommodate non-stationary time series. The filter works on time series with missing values at any point of time including the initialisation phase. It can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004966126
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011508954
survey expectations data in forecasting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464269
literature was found to have promising forecasting abilities, it is possible to further improve the performance if the … coefficient adjustment. With this calibration of the Kalman filter model the short-term out-ofsample forecasting accuracy can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011700704
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. The forecasting accuracy of the new modelling framework is compared to other common uni- and multivariate approaches in an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009481626
. The forecasting accuracy of the new modelling framework is compared to other common uni- and multivariate approaches in an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009481782
literature was found to have promising forecasting abilities, it is possible to further improve the performance if the … coefficient adjustment. With this calibration of the Kalman filter model the short-term out-ofsample forecasting accuracy can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011701312
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010461966