Showing 1 - 10 of 29,258
In this paper I consider a dynamically complete market model without intrinsic uncertainty. The only uncertainty is modelled by sunspots. Agents' beliefs are heterogeneous, but eventually become homogeneous in the sense that agents' beliefs are identical in the limit. I show that if some states...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012236011
reasons why adaptive learning may or may not lead to stability and convergence to self-fulfilling expectations in large … learning dynamics is locally divergent. On the other hand, if agents are fairly sure of the local stability of the system, and … principle” does show up in a wide variety of contexts: smooth or discontin- uous, finite or infinite memory learning rules …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005043711
This paper investigates collective denial and willful blindness in groups, organizations and markets. Agents with anticipatory preferences, linked through an interaction structure, choose how to interpret and recall public signals about future prospects. Wishful thinking (denial of bad news) is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293122
This paper investigates collective denial and willful blindness in groups, organizations and markets. Agents with anticipatory preferences, linked through an interaction structure, choose how to interpret and recall public signals about future prospects. Wishful thinking (denial of bad news) is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010704406
I develop a model of (individually rational) collective reality denial in groups, organizations and markets. Whether participants' tendencies toward wishful thinking reinforce or dampen each other is shown to hinge on a simple and novel mechanism. When an agent can expect to benefit from other's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666620
. The results show that reinforcement learning leads to dynamics similar to those observed in standard public goods games … explained by reinforcement learning. According to our estimates, learning only accounts for 41 percent of the decay in …, differ strongly from the learning dynamics, while a learning model estimated from the limited information treatment tracks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343917
understand better how subjects with different cognitive abilities learn differently, we estimate a structural model of learning … ability to that of character skills, and find that both cognition and personality affect behavior and learning. More agreeable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364492
Using belief elicitation, the paper investigates the formation and the evolution of beliefs in a signalling game in which a common prior on Sender's type is not induced. Beliefs are elicited about the type of the Sender and about the strategies of the players. The experimental subjects often...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535526
(2010). My model allows for an analysis of the effects of firm learning on labor market efficiency in the presence of search … frictions. I find that firm learning increases relative expected earnings in high-ability jobs and, thereby, enhances imitation … priori. Numerical results show that firm learning does not increase labor market efficiency. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306402
The payoff matrix of a finite stage game is realized randomly, and then the stage game is repeated infinitely. The distribution over states of the world (a state corresponds to a payoff matrix) is commonly known, but players do not observe nature’s choice. Over time, they can learn the state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011690752