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Finding what causes pricing anomalies is an important step towards improving market efficiency. The favourite-longshot bias is one of the longest-standing pricing anomalies in state-contingent claims markets. However, existing models are unable to capture its full complexity. We develop a...
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This paper explores the use of the anchoring and adjustment heuristic by decision makers in a financial market; in particular, the degree to which horserace bettors anchor their probability judgments on the advantage afforded by a horse‟s barrier-position. The results suggest that under...
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We discover mispricing in an apparently transparent market — the European soccer betting market. Efficiency differences between countries are accounted for by variations in league competitiveness. We conclude that barriers to efficiency (e.g., risk evaluation problems) may remain in...
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