Bloom, Nicholas - Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research … - 2007
Uncertainty varies strongly over time, rising by 50% to 100% in recessions and by up to 200% after major economic and … political shocks. This paper shows that higher uncertainty reduces the responsiveness of R&D to changes in business conditions … - a "caution-effect" - making it more persistent over time. Thus, uncertainty will play a critical role in shaping the …