This paper forecasts inflation in Sudan following two methodologies: the Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) model and … by looking at the leading indicators of inflation. The estimated ARMA model remarkably tracks the actual inflation during … indicators explaining inflation in Sudan. Inflation forecasts based on both approaches suggest that inflationary pressures for …

Containing inflation has turned out to be one of the most challenging aspects of economic management in Iraq. This … paper posits that conventional as well as unconventional factors explain inflation dynamics in the recent past. We build a … fuel shortages, with implications for fuel and non-fuel inflation. A number of step-wise adjustments of administered prices …

-rate policy fits a conventional forward-looking reaction function with an inflation target of about 1 percent. The disappointing … inflation target would not have yielded a lasting improvement in performance. However, a price-targeting rule or a policy rule … that combined a higher inflation target with a more aggressive response to output would have achieved superior …

gaps on output growth, inflation, and net saving rates using panel data for 20 Asian countries for 1980-2008. We find a … significant pass-through of the global monetary gap to domestic monetary gaps, which in turn affect output growth and inflation …

How should a central bank organize itself to produce the best possible inflation forecast? This paper discusses … elements for building a comprehensive platform for an inflation forecasting framework. It describes the exercise of forecasting … inflation as a production process, which induces a strict discipline concerning data management, information gathering, the use …

The Paraguayan economy suffered setbacks throughout 2011–12 owing to drought, export ban, and inflation. Recovery …

This study examines money demand and inflation dynamics in the Islamic Republic of Iran using quarterly data for the … long-run money market equilibrium condition is identified and the short-run behavior of the inflation, measured in terms of …/01-2001/02 buoyed the demand for domestic money and contributed to the decline in inflation. Tests of model stability do not point to a …

This Selected Issues paper on the Russian Federation underlies inflation persistence and evolution in response to … structural shocks. Inflation in Russia has been characterized by a considerable degree of persistence. An explicit inflation … inflation. Allowing more nominal appreciation would help to keep inflation on a downward path and better anchor inflation …