Panel unit root tests show that intranational purchasing power parity cannot be rejected across major Australian cities from 1972:3 to 1999:1. The persistence of deviations in response to shocks is low, as measured by the estimated exact half-life of between five and ten quarters. This is much...

Using a model of intertemporally optimizing households, this paper establishes that fiscal policy needs to be endogenous to preempt instability if one wishes to permit any combination of money and debt finance. Conservative governments enforce a greater margin of preemption than liberal...

This paper examines the implications of terms of trade vulnerability for a perfectly competitive, small open economy with incomplete risk markets. Conditions are obtained for which an improvement in the mean terms of trade raises welfare and for which an increase in the variance of the terms of...

We construct a dynamic error correction model of the Australian labor market using a macroeconomic panel across seven states from 1972:3 to 1999:1. Medium-run equilibrium estimates support a real wage-productivity gap and an unemployment gap. The dynamic short-run estimates support...

Using a small New Keynesian state space macroeconomic model, we apply maximum likelihood estimation and the Kalman filter to obtain joint estimates of the unobservable medium-run paths of potential output and its normal rate of growth, the NAIRU, the neutral real interest rate and the subjective...

Transition probabilities between four labor market states (full-time employment, part-time employment, unemployment and inactive) for three age groups (the young, mature and old) are calculated using monthly gross flow data for Australia from October 1997 to May 2012. We determine the responses...