We develop a theoretical framework to account for the observed instability of the link between inflation and fiscal … bank that has full control over inflation. When policy makers deviate from this Virtuous regime, agents conduct Bayesian … pessimistic about a prompt return to the Virtuous regime and inflation starts drifting in response to a fiscal imbalance. Shocks …

resilient to external shocks. Enhancing the credibility of the inflation target would provide the monetary authorities with more …. Améliorer la crédibilité de l’objectif d’inflation donnerait aux autorités monétaires plus de latitude pour réagir aux chocs …

inflation and rising inflation expectations for years to come. We show that these concerns have been overstated. A $100 oil … scenario of the type discussed by many observers, would only briefly raise monthly headline inflation, before fading rather … quickly. However, the short-run effects on headline inflation would be sizable. For example, on a year-over-year basis …

inflation and rising inflation expectations for years to come. We show that these concerns have been overstated. A $100 oil … scenario of the type discussed by many observers, would only briefly raise monthly headline inflation, before fading rather … quickly. However, the short-run effects on headline inflation would be sizable. For example, on a yearover-year basis …

The conventional wisdom that inflation expectations respond to the level of the price of oil (or the price of gasoline … price shocks may indeed drive one-year household inflation expectations. The model shows that there have been several such … episodes since 1990. In particular, the rise in household inflation expectations between 2009 and 2013 is almost entirely …

entails a transitory rise in inflation and a lasting, albeit moderate decline in GDP. We show that the short and medium …

This paper studies exchange rate pass-through to food and energy consumer price inflation and its dependence on the … inflation environment using cross-country panel estimation of Phillips curves. It considers a large panel of OECD member and … inflation and also significant for food CPI inflation. A 10% depreciation in the exchange rate leads to an increase in energy …

evidence for monetary policy and inflation expectations with a special emphasis on market-specific characteristics that …