Consistency of Bayesian nonparametric procedures has been the focus of a considerable amount of research. Here we deal with strong consistency for Bayesian density estimation. An awkward consequence of inconsistency is pointed out. We investigate reasons for inconsistency and precisely identify...

This paper examines the interface between Henry Kissinger's operational code and his bargaining behavior during the Vietnam conflict. Kissinger's position at the pinnacle of the American foreign affairs hierarchy, amidst the existence of competing policy recommendations, may be regarded as...

This paper develops a new family of Bayesian semi-parametric models. A particular member of this family is used to model option prices with the aim of improving out-of-sample predictions. A detailed empirical analysis is made for European index call and put options to illustrate the ideas.

This paper considers generating exchangeable partition probability functions from an independent and identically distributed sample from a geometric distribution. We show that the model is rich and while different from exchangeable random variables based on nonparametric models, such as the...

We propose a mixed multinomial logit model, with the mixing distribution assigned a general (nonparametric) stick-breaking prior. We present a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to sample and estimate the posterior distribution of the model’s parameters. The algorithm relies on a Gibbs...

This article introduces a new family of Bayesian semiparametric models for the conditional distribution of daily stock index returns. The proposed models capture key stylized facts of such returns, namely, heavy tails, asymmetry, volatility clustering, and the "leverage effect." A Bayesian...

Hippocampal volume is one of the best established biomarkers for Alzheimer's disease. However, for appropriate use in clinical trials research, the evolution of hippocampal volume needs to be well understood. Recent theoretical models propose a sigmoidal pattern for its evolution. To support...

The authors investigate the linkage between presidential operational codes and the management of foreign policy conflicts during the period of strategic adjustment in American foreign policy following the cold war. Beliefs expressed in public speeches by Presidents George Bush and Bill Clinton...

An approach to modeling dependent nonparametric random density functions is presented. This is based on the well known mixture of Dirichlet process model. The idea is to use a technique for constructing dependent random variables, first used for dependent gamma random variables. While the...