This paper examines the implications for the Nordic Countries (Denmark, Finland, Norway and Sweden) of participating in the finan stage of the European Monetary Union. Economic linkages with Germany are estimated using a time series approach under both the Bretton Woods and the post-Bretton...

This study explores the sources of real exchange rate fluctuations under the current float. Using a cointegration model of the real exchange rate, the innovations are decomposed into transitory and common-trend components. Both transitory and common-trend innovations are found to explain an...

This paper examines whether output per capita in 126 countries is better described as trend or difference stationary, using appropriate finite-sample critical values. Depending upon whether one uses solely a test with a trend stationary null, or solely one with a difference stationary null, very...

Exchange rate forecasts are generated using some popular monetary models of exchange rates in conjunction with several estimation techniques. We propose an alternative set of criteria for evaluating forecast rationality which entails the following requirements: the forecast and the actual series...

Previous assessments of nominal exchange rate determination have focused upon a narrow set of models typically of the 1970's vintage. The canonical papers in this literature are by Meese and Rogoff (1983, 1988), who examined monetary and portfolio balance models. Succeeding works by Mark (1995)...

This paper summarises the results of a survey of UK based foreign exchange dealers conducted in 1998. It addresses topics in three main areas: The microeconomic operation of the foreign exchange market; the beliefs of dealers regarding the importance, or otherwise, of macroeconomic fundamental...

This study evaluates the individual roles of monetary and productivity shocks in real exchange rate fluctuations under the current float. Using a cointegration model of exchange rates and relative prices, the innovations are decomposed into transitory and common-trend parts. Both transitory and...

Using annual data on nine manufacturing sectors of 18 OECD countries, the article studies the implications of market structure for cross-country relative price variability. It is found that, in accordance with predictions from a standard markup pricing model, reductions in market competition,...

The financial linkages between the People's Republic of China (hereafter 'China') and the other Greater China economies of Hong Kong and Taiwan are assessed, and compared against those of China with Singapore, Japan and the United States. For both sets of links, there is evidence that ex post...

A fractional integration framework and a relationship between the variability of innovations in real stock prices and real dividends implied by the present value model are used to examine the issue of stock market volatility raised by Shiller (1981) and LeRoy and Porter (1981). It is found that...