Vector autoregressions (VAR's) are an important tool in time series analysis. However, relatively little is known about the finite-sample behaviour of parameter estimators. We address this issue here, by investigating maximum likelihood estimators (MLE's) in the context of a purely nonstationary...

This paper studies money based and exchange rate based disinflation in an open economy model with explicit microfoundations. For benchmark parameter values, it is found that a money slowdown leads to a recession in the short run whereas exchange rate based disinflation leads to very rapid...

The annual five per cent in real terms increase in tobacco taxes proposed in the recent White Paper on smoking has reaffirmed the commitment of successive United Kingdom governments to above inflation increases in tobacco taxation to encourage people to stop smoking. This paper presents evidence...

This paper proposes a scheme that speeds up the convergence of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms in the context of limited-dependent variable models. The algorithm reduces autocorrelations more than the recently proposed Parameter Expansion Data Augumentation (PX-DA) algorithm. In...