Tests results for causality between energy consumption and economic growth do not have a consensus in the financial economics literature. Empirical evidence varies on the economies examined and methodology employed. This paper proposes a wavelet analysis as a semi- parametric model for detecting...

This paper develops a consistent OLS estimate of a fractionally integrated processes' differencing parameter, using continuous wavelet theory as constructed from smoothing kernels. We show that a log-log linear relationship exists between the variance of the wavelet coefficient and the level at...

We consider the randomness of values and volumes of market deals as a major factor that describes lower bounds of uncertainty and upper limits on the accuracy of the forecasts of macroeconomic variables, prices, and returns. We introduce random macroeconomic variables, whose average values...

This paper defines theoretical lower bounds of uncertainty of observations of macroeconomic variables that depend on statistical moments and correlations of random values and volumes of market trades. Any econometric assessments of macroeconomic variables have greater uncertainty. We consider...

The outcome of the US presidential election is one of the most significant events that impacts trade, investment, and geopolitical policies on the global stage. It also sets the direction of the world economy and global politics for the next few years. Hence, it is of prime importance not just...

Arguably the most important problem in quantitative finance is to understand the nature of stochastic processes that underlie market dynamics. One aspect of the solution to this problem involves determining characteristics of the distribution of fluctuations in returns. Empirical studies...

This paper explores extensions to the random walk model for time series in finance. There is some disagreement about the suitability of multifractal probability models, but they have compelling attributes. Research that has found no evidence to support the multifractal model has used testing...

Several existing theories emphasize the strong positive effects of globalization and financial development on human development, either because of the rising economic welfare and the higher productivity of workers generating from increasing skill specialization or because financial development...