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estimates of volatility, we present an application dealing with Value-at-Risk (VaR) prediction at different sampling frequencies … factor in the portfolio volatility equation from the estimated vector IMA(1,1) model of squared returns. Empirical results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642228
volatility in real per capita GDP growth. It incorporates 97 countries and 2404 observations. It also employs a system GMM … that regional free trade agreements will not increase volatility in most cases, and may actually lower it. In only one out … of the seven agreements explored is volatility larger after the implementation of the agreement. Furthermore, the role …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642417
The paper carries out a deep case study of the international aid that Equatorial Guinea receives. This is an extremely interesting country because, not being a failed state, it presents very low indexes in institutional quality. Its oil richness, which began to be exploited by foreign investors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642665
We propose a theory of low-frequency movements in unemployment based on asymmetric real wage rigidities. The theory generates two main predictions: long-run unemployment increases with (i) a fall in long-run productivity growth and (ii) a rise in the variance of productivity growth. Evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008642883
We analyze the determinants of daily futures price volatility in corn, soybeans, wheat, and oats markets from 1986 to … that allows us to clearly distinguish among time-to-delivery effects, seasonality, calendar trend, and volatility … persistence. We find strong evidence of time-to-delivery (Samuelson) effects and systematic seasonal components with volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008643478
/methodology/approach – The paper reports on the authors' work on a Supply Chain Volatility Index and shows how current supply chain practices may … presents guidelines on how to manage supply chains in the age of turbulence: by embracing volatility as an opportunity rather …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014793830
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014794387
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to provide an update to the Supply Chain Volatility Index (SCVI), and expand on … prior work by presenting a conceptual framework illustrating how firms can deal with persistent volatility, the ensuing risk … to scholars and practitioners. Findings Volatility has reduced from record levels experienced during the global financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014794765
Purpose Over the past few decades, the environment for organisations has been frequently described using the acronym VUCA: a volatile, uncertain, complex and ambiguous environment. In spite of the popularity of this acronym, it is not unusual to find some overlap concerning the meaning of those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014787416
asymmetric information, and high volatility affect the risk market. Previous researchers have concluded that the calculation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014788223