Generalized Lotka-Volterra (GLV) models extending the (70 year old) logistic equation to stochastic systems consisting of a multitude of competing auto-catalytic components lead to power distribution laws of the (100 year old) Pareto-Zipf type. In particular, when applied to economic systems,...

This paper focuses on the estimation of mutual fund styles by return-based style analysis. Usually, the investment style is assumed to be either constant through time, or time variation is implicitly accounted for by using rolling regressions. The former assumption is often contradicted by data...

We demonstrate that achieving sensible convergence of prices to equilibrium is facilitated by market maker risk. \\ We introduce several criteria for price formation rules, and provide an example that satisfies all of them. The risk aversion of the market maker inevitably leads to price...

This paper studies multilateral negotiations among n players in an environment where there are externalities and contracts forming coalitions can be written and renegotiated. The negotiation process is modeled as sequential game of offers and counteroffers, and the study focus on the stationary...

This paper uses an agent based financial market calibrated to aggregate data. It shows how these markets are able to magnify the volatility of fundamentals, and to create time series with persistent volatility. The mechanism for this persistence is explored using several of the time series...

Anderson & Moore describe a powerful method for solving linear saddle point models. The algorithm has proved useful in a wide array of applications including analyzing linear perfect foresight models, providing initial solutions and asymptotic constraints for nonlinear models. However, many...

This paper reports on the use of multi-agent games to model financial markets. Our research employs multi-agent games to address three questions which are of great practical importance in quantitative finance: how profit opportunities may be identified, large price movements predicted, and...

This paper presents a large-scale application of multi-agent, evolutionary modelling to the proposed new electricity trading arrangements (NETA) in the UK. This is a detailed, plant-by-plant model with an active specification of the demand side of the market. NETA involves a bilateral forwards...

In economics, numerical optimization is usually carried out using a package designed to optimize a black-box function f(x). Using a general-purpose package has many advantages, but it ignores the fact that objective functions in economics and econometrics have much in common. In particular,...

A popular argument states that most of the diversification in a portfolio can be obtained with a rather small number of securities. In this paper we present three algorithms to approach the underlying NP-hard problem of portfolio optimization with a cardinality constraint. All three of these...